Cook, Philip J.
[VerfasserIn]
;
Sloan, Frank A.
[Sonstige Person, Familie und Körperschaft];
Ostermann, Jan
[Sonstige Person, Familie und Körperschaft]National Bureau of Economic Research
Are Alcohol Excise Taxes Good For Us? Short and Long-Term Effects on Mortality Rates
Erschienen:
Cambridge, Mass: National Bureau of Economic Research, February 2005
Erschienen in:NBER working paper series ; no. w11138
Umfang:
1 Online-Ressource
Sprache:
Englisch
DOI:
10.3386/w11138
Identifikator:
Reproduktionsnotiz:
Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers
Entstehung:
Anmerkungen:
Mode of access: World Wide Web
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Beschreibung:
Regression results from a 30-year panel of the state-level data indicate that changes in alcohol-excise taxes cause a reduction in drinking and lower all-cause mortality in the short run. But those results do not fully capture the long-term mortality effects of a permanent change in drinking levels. In particular, since moderate drinking has a protective effect against heart disease in middle age, it is possible that a reduction in per capita drinking will result in some people drinking "too little" and dying sooner than they otherwise would. To explore that possibility, we simulate the effect of a one percent reduction in drinking on all-cause mortality for the age group 35-69, using several alternative assumptions about how the reduction is distributed across this population. We find that the long-term mortality effect of a one percent reduction in drinking is essentially nil