• Medientyp: Bericht; E-Book
  • Titel: Estimativas da função de exportações brasileiras agregadas com dados das contas nacionais trimestrais (1995-2009)
  • Beteiligte: Schettini, Bernardo Patta [VerfasserIn]; Squeff, Gabriel Coelho [VerfasserIn]; Gouvêa, Raphael Rocha [VerfasserIn]
  • Erschienen: Brasília: Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA), 2011
  • Sprache: Portugiesisch
  • Schlagwörter: C52 ; Schätztheorie ; F1 ; F17 ; C22 ; Brasilien ; Export
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  • Beschreibung: This paper presents new econometric specifications for the Brazilian exports in the period 1995-2009 using data from the Quarterly Accounts and allowing for nonlinearities. In the cointegrating vector, there is evidence of a level shift, but the elasticities have not changed significantly. The income-elasticity remained close to the unity, and the real exchange rate multiplier was small. In the short-run dynamics, the world income exerts a nonnegligible influence, and the exchange rate is not significant. We estimate the correction of disequilibria occurs within three quarters. In addition, we underscore selected models exhibited a good performance in the outof-sample one-step-ahead forecast.
  • Zugangsstatus: Freier Zugang